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© 2026 Political Temperature Index

30-DAY TREND
H: 84.8L: 54.9AVG: 72.4

Historical temperature movement showing political tension over time. Spikes often correlate with major events.

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Political Temperature Index

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A 0–100 measure of US political tension, recalculated twice daily across news, social, and legislative data.

Scores reflect evolving methodology and data sources

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0.0°
Elevated
▼ 2.124H
VOL -2.0POL +1.4INT +1.2
Based on 93% data confidence, the temperature likely falls between 56.8° and 62.8°0255075100
SUB-INDICESClick to expand

Five weighted components that combine to form the overall temperature score.

RHETORIC
10%
39.5▼ 15.0

Inflammatory language & toxicity in news coverage

POLARIZATION
30%
30.7▲ 3.8

Narrative divergence + topic siloing + coverage blindspots

VOLUME
30%
32.5▼ 6.4

News & social media activity vs 30-day average

FRICTION
10%
26.2▼ 8.7

Party-line voting & congressional gridlock

INTENSITY
20%
41.0▼ 13.4

Breaking news severity from keywords, tone & events

HEAT SOURCE
R+27%
Left16%
from 26% of articles↓ Cool
Center41%
from 31% of articles↑ Hot
Right43%
from 42% of articles
In ContextSame-methodology comparison
TODAYJun 28
59.8Elevated
Current
7 DAYS AGOJun 21
72.1Elevated
-12.4 vs today
30 DAYS AGOMay 29
70.7Elevated
-11.0 vs today
6 MONTHS AGO
—
No data
Summary

The Political Temperature Index has cooled to 59.8°, reflecting a decline of 2.1 points as tensions shift in Washington.

  • •The US military's additional strikes against Iran contributed 23.6 points as hostilities escalate following an attack on a ship in the Strait of Hormuz.
  • •A Trump-endorsed candidate winning the GOP nomination added 16.2 points, signaling continued alignment with the former president's influence in the party.
  • •Trump's nomination of Lance Schroyer as ICE director contributed 12.8 points, underscoring a focus on law enforcement leadership within the administration.
  • •James Carville's call for a formal Democratic party divide added 9.8 points, highlighting growing ideological rifts as far-left candidates gain traction in recent primaries.

Watch for developments in the Iran situation and reactions to Carville's comments as party dynamics evolve.

TOP DRIVERS

Stories contributing most to today's temperature score. Click a row to see details.

#
Story
Heat
Articles
Bias
▶1
US military launches ‘additional strikes’ against Iran after ship
+23.6%
52
R
▶2
Trump-Endorsed Candidate Wins GOP Nomination
+16.2%
22
R
▶3
Trump Nominates Lance Schroyer as ICE Director
+12.8%
83
R
▶4
James Carville calls for formal Democratic party divide after
+9.8%
40
R
▶5
Kalshi Brings Insider Trading to the Ballot Box
+7.5%
15
R
L=Left-heavy · C=Centered · R=Right-heavy
JUN 22 - JUN 28
NEXT UPDATE
ARTICLES16,469
SOCIAL13,332
VOTES86
SOURCES188
JUN 22 - JUN 28
NEXT UPDATE
ARTICLES16,469
SOCIAL13,332
VOTES86
SOURCES188